Saturday, February 22, 2025

"Education Matters"

 According to the Julian calendar, then in use, George Washington was born on February 11, 1731. However, in 1752 Britain and its colonies adopted the Gregorian calendar, which had the result of moving Washington’s birthday forward by one year and eleven days. Growing up, this day was always a school holiday, as was February 12, Lincoln’s birthday. While I recognize the value of a three-day weekend, I have always thought we lost something in not celebrating the actual birth dates of these two remarkable men and presidents.

 

This essay was particularly difficult to write. The subject is so large and there is so much information. But there is, perhaps, no more important issue facing us. Why do so many politicians allow teachers’ unions to hold back the education of our youth? I suspect most teachers are devoted to their cause. The fault lies not with them, but with the leaders of their unions and the politicians who place more value on their money than on the needs of children.

 

Sydney M. Williams

www.swtotd.blogspot.com

 

Thought of the Day

“Education Matters”

February 22, 2025

 

“I look to the diffusion of light and education as the resource most to be relied on for

ameliorating the condition, promoting the virtue and advancing the happiness of man..”

                                                                                                            Thomas Jefferson (1743-1826)

                                                                                                             Letter to Cornelius Camden Blatchley

                                                                                                             21 October, 1822

 

“Student academic achievement is the cornerstone of national success and security. This

makes a lack of academic progress today a direct and urgent threat to our collective future.”

                                                                                                            Patrick Kelly

                                                                                                            National Assessment Governing Board Member

                                                                                                            On release of Nation’s Report Card

                                                                                                             January 29, 2025

 

A recent editorial in The Washington Post, lamenting threats to close the Department of Education, referred to a “landmark” 1983 Reagan Administration report, “A Nation at Risk.” The editorial divulged “that 13 percent of American 17-year-olds – and up to 40 percent of minority youths – were functionally illiterate” at the time. The editorial claimed the United States had been falling behind its adversaries, which caused businesses and the military to spend millions of dollars on “costly remedial education and training programs.” The editorial added: “Test scores have improved (apart from an alarming slippage in recent years), and presidents from both parties have worked to make American schools more accommodating for children with disabilities, and to improve low-performing schools.” But has that been true?

 

Today, the Department of Education spends approximately twenty-two times as much per student as it did forty years ago, yet the results are dismal. According to the recently issued report from the U.S. Department of Education – the bi-annual National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), commonly referred to as the Nation’s Report Card – 60% of fourth graders scored below what the NAEP deems a proficient level in math. 8th Graders fared worse, with 75% performing below proficiency. In reading, almost 70 percent of students scored below the NAEP proficiency level. In the report, the author Stephaan Harris quoted Governing Board member Patrick Kelly of Columbia, South Carolina: “Student academic achievement is the cornerstone of national success and security. This makes a lack of academic progress today a direct and urgent threat to our collective future.” It does; education is the foundation on which our democracy is built.

 

Internationally, our students are not where they should be. According to the 2022 to the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) tests, American students did best in reading, ranking 9th overall, behind Macau and Canada. In science, however, they ranked 16th, behind Slovenia and the UK. And in math, the ranked 34th, below the average and behind Norway and Malta.  The scores, according to Education GPS, “…are among the lowest ever measured by PISA in mathematics. In reading and science, results confirm a long-term stability in result,” albeit at a mediocre level for a nation that prides itself on its schools.

 

These tests foretell a depressing story. We are a nation that has been the technological, medical and science leader of the world; and some might argue its cultural leader. Yet our public schools are a disgrace, with minorities and the poor suffering the most. 

 

School choice is the obvious answer, but it is widely opposed by teachers’ unions, and therefore by most Democrat politicians. Open Secrets reported that, for the 2024 election cycle, the two largest teachers’ unions, National Education Association (NEA) and the American Federation of Teachers (AFT), gave a combined $32 million to candidates, with 94% going to Democrats. That dollar amount was up from $4 million twenty years ago. In the meantime, a Heritage Foundation survey (2023) found that 47% of House members and 51% of Senators enroll their children in private schools. In a February 1 op-ed in The Wall Street Journal, Michael Bloomberg wrote: “In New York, the teachers union has fought to maintain a cap on the number of charter schools, [schools that] have dramatically raised achievement levels, even as student waiting lists grow longer.” Hypocrisy thrives. 

 

The world faces many problems, and it is not simply the threat of foreign powers, like China with its Belt-and-Road initiatives, a revanchist Russia wishing to reclaim its lost empire, a Middle East under the threat of Iran and Islamic terrorism, or African Christians having to live with daily threats. Artificial intelligence and quantum computing are in their infancy. We must, as J.D. Vance warned our European partners in Munich, confront “the enemy within.” We must not allow fear of censorship prevent us from speaking out. We should, as Noah Rothman wrote in the January 2024 issue of National Review, “summon the courage to repudiate what passes for sophistication in the academy and renounce the trite moral relativism that cannot distinguish between the Western world and its enemies.” Western liberalism, which dates back two-hundred-and-fifty years to the Enlightenment, is under attack. One consequence has been the divisiveness of our political parties. Another is manifested in the current crop of political leaders from both parties.

 

The best antidote is an educated populace. “Education is the movement from darkness to light” is a quote attributed to Allan Bloom, author of The Closing of the American Mind. Martin Luther King believed that the purpose of education was to help people “to think incisively and to think for one’s self.” This is particularly true as it applies to our roles as citizens. Our youth must read our Constitution, understand what makes our government unique, and how rare it is in the annals of mankind. All public school students should have some familiarity with the canon of classical liberal Western thought.     

 

Recently, Jason Riley, writing in The Wall Street Journal, noted: “Given the strong correlation between educational achievement and life outcomes, a society that allows such a large fraction of its youth to fall by the wayside academically is asking for trouble down the road.” We cannot allow this decline in education to be the “canary in the coalmine,” predicting a decline in our nation’s democracy and its global leadership. Education trains the mind to question assumptions, to challenge authority, to think, to be open to new ideas. It is the resource, as Thomas Jefferson wrote, that “most to be relied on…for advancing the happiness of man.” 

 

For forty-five years, Congress has shoveled increasing amounts of money into public school education. By itself, that money has not worked. Like other businesses, our schools need competition – not just the private schools primarily available to the wealthy – but charter schools and voucher programs that allows all parents to choose the best alternatives for their children. They need home-schooling and Catholic schools that once educated many of the nation’s neediest. Albert Einstein is alleged to have once said that the definition of insanity is to do the same thing over and over again and expect different results. Yet that is what has become of our public schools. The poet William Butler Yeats once said that education is the lighting of a fire, the instilling in young students a passion to question, to learn. That is what our future demands. 

 

Yes, education does matter.

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Sunday, February 16, 2025

Review - "The Portrait of a Lady," Henry James

 Apologies for two essays in two days, but we have to leave for Rye this afternoon and will be gone for two days.

 

Indicative of how little things change, there is an exchange in this novel, which will be familiar to many today. It is when old Daniel Touchett speaks to Isabel about the “radicals of the upper class:” Their “progressive ideas are about their greatest luxury. They make them feel moral and yet don’t damager their positions.” Plus c’est la même chose.

 

Regardless, I believe you will enjoy this book, among the best I have read.

 

Sydney M. Williams


 

Burrowing into Books

The Portrait of a Lady, 1908, Henry James (1843-1916)

February 16, 2025

 

“I’m very fond of my liberty.”

                                                                                                                                Isabel speaking

                                                                                                                                The Portrait of a Lady, Henry James

 

I like to read but am no expert on literature. Nevertheless, in my opinion, this novel ranks with Tolstoy’s Anna Karenina. The title is interesting, as we learn about Isabel Archer, because a person is more than an artist’s rendition. In the last few pages, Isabel slips from the frame we had thought enclosed her. Writing the “Introduction” to the Oxford Word’s Classic edition, Professor Roger Luckhurst concludes: “From this busted frame Isabel evades final determination, and James leads us toward the era of the modern novel.”  

 

The story opens at Gardencourt, an early Tudor mansion on the Thames, about 40 miles west of London, home to the American expatriate Daniel Touchett, his wife Lydia and their sickly son Ralph. Lydia Touchett had visited her sisters in Albany, New York and returns with her niece, Isabel Archer, who is in her early 20s. She displays “a great deal of confidence,” is “slim and charming, and “unexpectedly pretty.” She is a breath of fresh air in an English society locked in a class struggle. It is significant that her first marriage proposal in England comes from Lord Warburton whose home Lockleigh, with its 50,000 acres, is adjacent to Gardencourt. She rejects him on the basis that she wants to be free, to see more of life, just as she had earlier rejected Casper Goodwood, an old flame from the U.S., a suitor who reappears in the story.

 

The scene shifts to Florence and then Rome, where most of the story takes place. In Florence, she meets the impoverished, deceptive American ex-patriate Gilbert Osmond – an older man, with a beautiful 15-year-old daughter, Pansy, who has been schooled by Catholic nuns – and the duplicitous Madame Merle who serves as nemesis to Isabel. At first the two women are thrown together, and the naïve Isabel opens up to her. “Sometimes she [Isabel] took alarm at her candour: it was as if she had given to a comparative stranger the key to her cabinet of jewels.” Once Madame Merle convinces Osmond he should marry the heiress Isabel, she goes to work on Isabel. Isabel marries Osmond, but as time progresses, she is unhappy and realizes Madame Merle does not have her interests: “She carried her flag discreetly, but her weapons were polished steel, and she used them with a skill which struck Isabel as more and more that of a veteran.”

 

Roughly five years pass from Isabel’s arrival in England until her return alone to Gardencourt to see her dying cousin. It is Ralph who advises Isabel: “Take things more easily…Don’t question your conscience so much…Spread your wings; rise above the ground. It’s never wrong to do that.” She had spread her wings in Florence, then found herself in an uncomfortable nest. She knows she does not belong in her marriage nest and senses wisdom in her dying cousin’s words.

 

James does not tell the reader how Isabel’s search ends, what the finished portrait looks like. But then, do any of us know how our stories will end? We suspect Isabel is wiser, and we also know she is both loyal and fond of liberty. Will she return to her husband in Florence, go back to the U.S. and marry Casper, or will she continue to travel, to investigate, to learn more about herself? We don’t know. It is an unfinished portrait.

Labels: , ,

Saturday, February 15, 2025

"Mt. Belvedere - 80 Years On"




 

This coming Wednesday will mark 80 years since the Ski Troops, the 10th Mountain Division, first saw action in Italy. My father was part of the assault on Mt. Belvedere in Italy’s Apennines.

 

Attached are three photos: the first a sketch of Mt. Belvedere that was drawn by Captain George F. Earle; it appeared in his History of the 87th Mountain Infantry, Italy 1945, published 20 October, 1945. The second and third are of a scene on top of Belvedere at the end of the first day and a caption for the photo. The last two items appear in an April 1946 album put together by 2nd Lt. Richard A. Rocker, also of the 87th, titled Vires Montesque Vincimus translated as “We Conquer Powers and Mountains,” the insignia for the 87th Regiment – my father’s regiment – of the 10thMountain Division. 

 

……………………………………………………………………………….

 

The passage of time can be deceptive. It is hard to imagine, at least for me, that the 80 years between now and the end World War II are equal to the 80 years from the end of the Civil War to the end of World War II.

 

Enjoy the long weekend, but don’t forget those who served.

 

Sydney M. Williams

 

More Essays from Essex

“Mt. Belvedere – 80 Years On”

February 15, 2025

 

“It is the duty of every generation to remember the sacrifices

of those who came before, so that their legacy may live on.”

                                                                                                                                Herman Wouk (1915-1919)

                                                                                                                                War and Remembrance, 1978

 

With the 80th anniversary marking the end of World War II fast approaching, the number of combatants still alive is shrinking. The Bureau of Veteran Affairs estimated last year that, out of over 16 million Americans who served in the War, approximately 66,000 men and women are still with us, with an estimated 55 dying each day. As well, we are rapidly losing even those with memories of the War.

 

So it is fitting to mark battles in which members of our families participated. By early January 1945, the ultimate outcome of the War was obvious, yet an estimated 49,000 American GIs were yet to die in combat. Okinawa, Iwo Jima and the Battle of Berlin were yet to be fought. Among the lesser well-known battles was one that took place in Italy, where an estimated 100,000 German troops under General Albert Kesselring were embedded along what was called the Gothic Line, a roughly 200-mile defensive line running along the Apennines from Spezia on the Ligurian Sea to Pesaro and Ravenna on the Adriatic. Following the fall of Rome in early June 1944, Germans retreated north to this mountainous defensive position that protected the farm-rich Po Valley and the cities of Bologna and Verona. The key was Mount Belvedere, the highest peak, which overlooked Highway 65, the main road between Florence and Bologna.   

 

In March 1944 my father, then thirty-three, married and father of three (with a fourth on the way), was drafted. After basic training at Fort McClellan in Alabama, he transferred to the 10th Mountain Division – the “Ski Troops,” who had trained in Colorado, but were then stationed at Camp Swift, about 40 miles east of Austin. In December, the 10th was sent to Fort Patrick Henry in Virginia, prior to being shipped to Italy later that month. A full complement of 14,000 men, under Major General George P. Hays, were sent to rout Kesselring’s troops from their mountainous redoubts. In Mountain Troopers, Curtis Casewit quoted General Hayes: “Mt. Belvedere must be captured before we can advance.”

 

In November 1944, elements of the British 8th Army and the U.S. 5th Army had attacked Germans entrenched on Belvedere. German counter-attacks caused them to retreat. Three months later, on February 19th, the 10th Mountain Division (now part of the 5thArmy) made its ascent, beginning at 0030 hours. The night before the 1st Battalion of the 86th Regiment captured Riva Ridge, which overlooked slopes on Belvedere. Along with others, C Company (my father’s unit) of the 87th Regiment were ordered to move silently forward, with Division artillery supporting the attack. They walked single-file, ten feet apart. “The way up,” Peter Shelton wrote in Climb to Conquer, “was long and folded, riddled with streams and ditches, with sharp ravines and bombed-out wagon roads.” They had to avoid mined fields and went past “ghostly remains of U.S. tanks,” abandoned on that earlier attempt. Because of walking past German sentries, the GIs, with fixed bayonets, carried grenades but no live ammunition – at least until daylight. Unfortunately, several soldiers were killed by mines. By 0430 Company C had attained its objective atop Belvedere, but with three of its men killed. Hays was again quoted by Curtis Casewit: “Mt. Belvedere and the occupied ground will be held at all costs.”

 

My father, a Harvard-educated artist, was not insensitive to the horrors of battle and the casualties around him when he wrote my mother on February 28 – the first time in almost two weeks that he had had a chance. He did not want to worry her more than she already was: “I’m behind the lines again after spending another week on the front. This time it wasn’t quite so comfortable, with foxholes and shells landing round about and that sort of thing. But the weather was nice and it wasn’t really too bad…I was in the attack on Mt. Belvedere, which is more like a hill than a mountain…There were crocuses in bloom on Mt. Belvedere and the view was beautiful, both day and night, a strange setting for a battle.”[1]

 

German counter-attacks continued for five days; among those killed was a young member of my father’s platoon, 18-year-old Juan Barrientos. He was killed by a shell fragment, a fragment that nicked my father’s cheek. They would have nine more weeks of combat before the war in Italy was over on May 2. Just under 1,000 ski troops would be killed, with almost 4,000 wounded – one of the heaviest casualty rates of any division based on time in action. Among those wounded was Senator Robert Dole, a replacement officer, on April 14 in Castel d’Aiano. My father, who became a runner for his company, was among the lucky ones. He was awarded the Bronze Star for “meritorious service.” His homecoming, at the Nashua, New Hampshire railroad station on V-J Day, remains vivid in my mind. Among the cheers, tears, joy, and honking of horns, I recall running across the parking lot to greet him. 

 

“Freedom is not free,” may sound trite; nevertheless, it is a truism. Over the almost two hundred and fifty years of our nation’s existence, millions of men and women have given up years of their lives in defense of their country, and many paid the ultimate sacrifice, that the rest of us may live in peace. In his book quoted above, Herman Wouk wrote: “The scars of war may fade, but they will always be a reminder of the price we paid for peace.”

 

2025 marks eighty years since the end of the greatest war the planet has ever seen. We should spend a few minutes thinking of those who sacrificed that we might enjoy that precious gift of freedom.

 

 

 





[1] Dear Mary: Letters Home from the 10th Mountain Division, 2019, page 61, edited by Sydney M. Williams

Labels: , , , , , , , , , ,

Sunday, February 9, 2025

"A Valentine's Day Message"

With Valentine’s Day appearing Friday, this essay is a little early, but love knows no calendar.

A beautiful wintery morning has arrived here in Connecticut. It reminds me of February days of yore.

 

The photo (“When Cupid’s Arrow Struck”) was taken on Friday March 9, 1962, the day Caroline agreed to be my Valentine for life. With her roommate and fiancé, Caroline and I were driving from Boston to New Hampshire for a weekend skiing at Wildcat Mountain. The photo was taken somewhere along New Hampshire’s coast.

 

Sydney M. Williams


 

More Essays from Essex

“A Valentine’s Day Message”

February 9, 2025

 

“The opposite of love is not hate; it’s indifference.”

                                                                                                Elie Wiesel (1928-2016)

                                                                                                Interview, U.S. News & World Report, October 27, 1986

 

Love is a unique sensation. Your definition of the word may differ from mine. It is ubiquitous in that every child born is embraced with the instinctual, maternal love of its mother. Love allows a child to understand they are integral to their family. Love is all around us, yet also singular. When missing, its absence is felt. It can arrive quickly, as did my love for Caroline not long after we met (and which has persisted for sixty-three years), or it may germinate for several months, even years, before blossoming. And, sadly, it sometimes dies.

 

We mostly think of love in terms of the one we marry, the individual we have chosen to share our life. But love assumes different forms. Love for one’s parents and one’s children are not the same. The former rests on the appreciation for one’s conception, while the latter is based on the knowledge that one’s children are the creation of you and your spouse, and that all one’s descendants, carry one’s genes into the future, making life eternal. It is spiritual, as in love for God. It can be generic, as in love for one’s country or for one’s fellow man. Love for one’s pets is not the same as love for one’s spouse, but it is nonetheless real. Love demands involvement, as Elie Wiesel suggested. It may be blind, however, as when passion, compassion, or admiration are mistaken for love. In such cases, it may be unrequited, for love is not always equally shared. 

 

Two hundred years ago Noah Webster defined the word as an “affection of the mind,” feelings of “esteem and benevolence” “animal desires between the sexes.” The Oxford English Dictionary defines the word: characterized “by strong feelings of affection for another, arising out of kinship, companionship, admiration, or benevolence;” it is “an individual emotion.” It has been used, the dictionary says, “to refer to sexual attraction or erotic desire.”

 

Today, we use the word liberally. “love you,” we say or write to our children and grandchildren when departing, ending a phone call or completing a text message. We hug one another and say how much we love them. Is the word over-used? I think not, for expressions of love make us considerate and respectful. On my shaving mirror is a saying, attributed to the University of Notre Dame’s longest serving president, Father Theodore Hesburgh (1917-2015): “The most important thing a man can do for his children is to love their mother.”

 

Like many of my generation, I was born into a family who loved me but who were not demonstrative of love, or, in fact, of most emotions. Saying “I love you,” and hugging were not common forms of expression. While I knew I was loved, the word ‘love’ was used only when signing letters. The last time I saw my father, in late November 1968 as he was dying of cancer, I told him I loved him, and I remember the awkwardness I felt when I said the words. Less than a year later – the evening before he died – I stopped to see my father-in-law in New York before heading back to Connecticut. I told him my wife loved him. I recall my words seemed forced, even as I knew Caroline loved him deeply.

 

As a college freshman in an introductory class in psychology, we were asked to define love. I demurred, unable to define a sensation I barely understood. Perhaps I was wrong for not attempting, as today I suspect the professor was not looking for a precise definition but to initiate a discussion.

 

A fun story: In the early 2000s, I was in Louisiana on a business trip. Two of us had been visiting a client in Baton Rouge, before driving to New Orleans to fly back to New York the next day. That evening we had dinner at Galatoire’s, a century-old restaurant on Bourbon Street. By chance, we were seated at a table next to Leon Galatoire and a lady friend. Mr. Galatoire had had a few drinks, and we started chatting and soon joined the two tables. My friend bought two copies of Leon Galatoire’s cookbook. Asked to sign them, Mr. Galatoire complied. My copy – today one of my treasures – shows three attempts to sign it, the last reading: “For Sydney, Love you so much! Bon appétit, Leon Galatoire.”

 

To love and to be loved are among the greatest sensations available to us as humans. As one of life’s eternal mysteries, it is too big a subject to be covered in this short essay. It has been written about by poets and portrayed by artists, far more articulate than I am. Nevertheless, I felt the urge to write something as we approach Valentine’s Day. “Love is composed of a single soul inhabiting two bodies,” is a quote attributed to Aristotle, signifying the deep connection felt between two people in love.  When Justice Stewart Potter was asked to describe his test for obscenity, he replied, “I know it when I see it.” Today my answer to my psychology professor would be, I know love when I feel it. And I have been fortunate in being loved, especially by my wife Caroline, and by my children and grandchildren, but also by a large extended family and by numerous friends.

 

In Henry James novel The Portrait of a Lady there is a scene in which the dying Ralph Touchett, speaks to his cousin Isabel Archer; he contrasts physical pain and love: “It’s (the pain) very deep, but…it passes; it’s passing now. But love remains.” It does, but to receive and experience it, we must be open to it and generous with it.

 

HAPPY VALENTINE’S DAY!

Labels: , , , , , ,

Monday, February 3, 2025

"Bitcoin & Cryptocurrencies"

 Yesterday Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow, which foretells six more weeks of winter. Now I recognize that “global warming” has morphed into “climate change,” an expression with which everyone can agree. Over the billions of years of Earth’s existence, the climate has changed from extreme heat to extreme cold. And there is little doubt it will continue to do so. Years ago, an expression in New Hampshire was: “If you don’t like the weather, wait five minutes.” Even as a youth I recognized the use of hyperbole. Regardless – and perhaps this is age speaking – I do hope the Pennsylvania groundhog is wrong. It seems to me that, while we have not had much snow in Connecticut, the temperatures have been colder than recent years. As the poet Richard St. Clair wrote”

 

“Every season has its beauty, true – 

Yet greening trees my favorite are to view.”

 

Well, it’s February and we are a couple of months from the first buds appearing, so you will have to make do with this essay on Bitcoins.

 

Sydney M. Williams


www.swtotd.blogspot.com

 

Thought of the Day

“Bitcoin & Cryptocurrencies”

February 3, 2025

 

“Bitcoin is a technological tour de force.”

                                                                                                Bill Gates (1955-)

                                                                                                Co-founder Microsoft

 

“You can’t value Bitcoin because it is not a value producing asset.”

                                                                                                Warren Buffet (1930-), in a 2018 CNBC interview

                                                                                                Founder and CEO, Berkshire Hathaway

 

Wisdom is typically attributed to the elderly, but one of our grandsons, a graduate student in modern European history, recently texted me with wise words: “It’s good to not agree with a President on all things.” He was responding to a text in which I had stated some misgivings about a few decisions made by President Trump during his first days in office, including his enthusiasm for cryptocurrencies, as seen in his promotion of two meme-coins, $TRUMP and $MELANIA issued a few days before his inauguration.

 

………………………………………………………………………………

 

It is my understanding that the argument for cryptocurrencies, and particularly Bitcoin, is based on a preference for a decentralized monetary system. The concern, which even Bitcoin skeptics like me share, is that countries with fiat currencies, and the U.S. with the world’s reserve currency, have rising and unsustainable government spending, which central banks have accommodated with artificially low interest rates. The subsequent debt has led to inflationary pressures. Debt is limiting options for governments, including needed defense spending. Because of its size and interest costs, national debt may become unserviceable. Bitcoin’s attraction includes the claim that the total number of coins issued will be limited. 

 

I don’t pretend to have special knowledge about cryptocurrencies. But this is what I understand about Bitcoins: The maximum total supply of Bitcoin is supposed to be 21 million, a number it is never expected to reach. As of December 22, 2024, according to Investopedia.com, 19.9 million Bitcoins had been mined. At $100,000 per Bitcoin, the total value of all Bitcoins is $1.99 trillion, or almost 7% of U.S. GDP. The smallest unit of measurement in the Bitcoin network is the Satoshi, which equals 0.00000001 Bitcoins. That would suggest that, at a price of $100,000 per Bitcoin, it would take, if my math is correct, approximately 1,000 Satoshis to equal one U.S. Dollar. 

 

Despite my limited technological expertise, I appreciate the development of blockchain technology, which has allowed Bitcoin to prosper. Blockchain technology, as I understand it, allows for a decentralized, tamper-proof, transparent system to record transactions. Buyers and sellers can maintain separate ledgers, but, with the approval of both parties, their ledgers are updated automatically and simultaneously.

 

But will (or even, can) Bitcoin substitute for a currency like the Dollar? First, what is money? Money is a medium of exchange, which people accept for the payment of goods and services, as well as for the re-payment of loans. In order to qualify, it must be stable relative to values placed on goods and services and the expectations of creditors. People would not be happy if the price of a movie ticket, a subway token, or a half-gallon of milk changed daily by five or ten percent.  Money is critical, as economies rely on it to facilitate transactions and to power economic growth. Given its volatility, would Bitcoin qualify as a currency? With its questionable origins and volatility, I suspect no, at least not at present. It is not a commodity, as it has no inherent economic value like a bushel of soybeans, a barrel of oil, or an ingot of gold. Unlike a business, it generates no cash flow. It is “mined” at a predetermined rate, but it cannot be harvested or slaughtered. It is not an equity, which represents a share of a business, with the potential for dividends, nor is it a bond with a stream of interest payments. It is a speculation, not an investment.

 

In the fall of 2012 I attended a colloquium in Vienna hosted by the Liberty Fund of Indianapolis and the Hayek Institute of Vienna. Four years earlier a paper, authored by Satoshi Nakamoto (a pseudonymous individual or group whose identity has never been confirmed) and titled Bitcoin: A Peer to Peer Electronic Cash System, was posted to a cryptography mailing list. One of the attendees attempted to explain the reasoning behind Bitcoins, which were then selling for $7,000. Most of what she said was over my head, and I came away as ignorant as I had arrived. Today, part of me feels like the billionaire investor and philanthropist Stanley Druckenmiller who in October 2023 said: “I don’t own any Bitcoin… but I should.” On the other hand, I agree with Mr. Buffet, who once called it a “mirage.” 

 

Who is right, Bill Gates, Warren Buffett, or Cathy Wood who has predicted another ten-fold increase in the price over the next five years? All three are smarter and wealthier than I am. While the current monetary system has served us well, concerns are understandable, especially regarding years of deficit spending and the blossoming of debt to untenable levels. Politicians, in a desire to please constituents, and central bankers willing to accommodate their every whim, have placed us in an indefensible position. My preference would be for Congress and the President to address the difficult concerns regarding how much welfare can a society afford before destroying the economy. In an unstable world where defense spending must be increased, governments must study “untouchable programs,’ like transfer payments, entitlements, and what the threats from aging and shrinking populations (without immigration) mean for the future.

 

My concerns over Bitcoin are not solely its absence of cash flow or its lack of an underlying asset, it has also to do with the mystery surrounding its founder(s). Who or what is Satoshi Nakamoto? How do we really know that the stated limit on Bitcoin production will hold? The future is never clear, and from my limited knowledge, a fascination with Bitcoins should cause people to read (or re-read) Charles MacKay’s 1841 classic, Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds, in which he writes of “Tulipmania,” the South Sea Bubble, of witches, crusades, and prophecies of the end of the world. “Men,” Mr. MacKay wrote in the preface, “it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, one by one.” Any asset that attracts more than two trillion dollars needs investigation. I find it wrong that the President is promoting his own meme cryptocurrencies, while overseeing what may be a speculative craze. Is it herd mentality that is driving the rush to cryptocurrencies? I don’t know, but I advise caution.

 

………………………………………………………………………..

 

I support most of Mr. Trump’s agenda, and I am happy he is President; but the Country does not need obstreperous, ideological advocates who blindly support their side. We need wisdom. We need those who think independently to reflect on events. The ability to think for one’s self is the purpose of education, to be skeptical, to avoid being indoctrinated, to maintain perspective. Divided into polar opposite factions, we have lost that ability. “You are either with us or against us,” said President George W. Bush in the fight against terrorism after 9/11. That attitude persists within the electorate; it is in Congress. Dishearteningly, it is in the media, podcasters and pundits. My grandson was right – we should feel free to disagree with those we support. If the consequence is government inefficiency, so be it. Freedom is worth that sacrifice.

Labels: , , , , , ,